One year since COVID-19 lockdown: India still recovering from unemployment blow

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New Delhi: India is still not out of the woods as far as unemployment is concerned after a year when the lockdown was imposed to contain the spread of deadly COVID-19 on March 25 last year as pandemic-induced job loss has not tapered off consistently.

The government had imposed a lockdown to curb the spread of the pandemic but this impacted economic and commercial activities and resulted in job loss and later on the exodus of migrant workers which rocked the entire nation.

According to the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE) data, the unemployment rate was recorded at 6.9% in February 2021 which is slightly better than 7.8% in the same month last year and 8.8% in March 2020, during which lockdown was imposed.

The data showed that the unemployment rate had peaked to 23.5% in April and remained at 21.7% in May. It started tapering off from June onward when it was recorded at 10.2% in the month and further improved to 7.4% in July.

However, the unemployment rate again rose slightly to 8.3% in August and improved to 6.7% in September last year, as per CMIE data. In October, unemployment again rose slightly to 7% and then eased to 6.5% in November last year as per the data.

The CMIE data showed that the unemployment rate had risen to 9.1% in December 2020 and improved in January to 6.5%.

Experts said that the CMIE data indicated improvement in the unemployment scenario from July onwards, but there is a need for consistency which would only come after an increase in buoyancy in the manufacturing and services sectors. They were of the view that the farm sector has done well which engages over 55% of the country’s population but there is a need for improvement in hiring in urban and industrial areas.

They opined that the government has taken many steps to boost fresh hiring in the country but repeated policy interventions and monitoring of existing schemes and initiatives at the ground level are required to achieve consistent improvement in the employment scenario in the country.

According to labour ministry data, around 16.5 lakh people have benefited from the Aatmanirbhar Bharat Rozgar Yojana (ABRY) which was launched in October to encourage hiring in the country amid the COVID-19 pandemic till March 9, 2021.

The scheme was introduced on October 1, 2020, to incentivise the creation of new employment along with social security benefits and restoration of loss of employment during the pandemic. This scheme, being implemented through the Employees Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO), reduces the financial burden of the employers of various sectors/ industries and encourages them to hire more workers.

Under the ABRY, the Government of India is crediting for a period of two years both the employees’ share (12% of wages) and employers’ share (12% of wages) of contribution payable.

Under the ABRY, about 16.5 lakhs beneficiaries registered themselves with the Scheme from October 1, 2020 and out of this, approximately 13.64 lakhs are new joinees with UAN (universal account number) generated on or after October 1, 2020, and approximately 2.86 lakhs are re-joinees who were rendered un-employed during the pandemic from March 1, 2020 to September 30, 2020, and rejoined from October 1, 2020, onwards.

The experts said that the government intends to create 50 lakh to 60 lakh jobs through the ABRY in two years’ time, but it required close monitoring and well-planned implementation to achieve the desired objective.

Under Pradhan Mantri Garib Kalyan Yojana (PMGKY), the Government of India has contributed both 12% employer’s share and 12% employee’s share under Employees Provident Fund (EPF), totaling 24% of the wage for the wage month from March to August 2020, for the establishments having up to 100 employees with 90% of such employees earning less than Rs 15,000.

Under the PMGKY scheme, Rs 2,567.66 crore was credited in EPF accounts of 38.82 lakhs eligible employees.

The recently released latest EPFO payroll data showed that net new enrolments with the retirement fund body grew about 28% to 13.36 lakh in January compared to the same month in 2020.

The data also reflected a growth of 24% for January 2021 over December last year. The EPFO has added around 62.49 lakh subscribers during the first ten months of the ongoing fiscal year, the data showed.

During 2019-20, the number of net new subscribers rose to 78.58 lakh as compared to 61.12 lakh in the preceding fiscal. The EPFO payroll data also gives a perspective about the employment scenario in the country.